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Crude oil (WTI)

CL
$123.7024h +1.14% · 7d -7.40% · 30d -7.60%

Last scan 1h ago

50Confidence-0.4

Slightly bearish (50% confidence)

Why this score

Crude Oil's confidence score slipped slightly from 50.7 to 50.3 out of 100, driven by a weak momentum score of 38 and a complete lack of bullish signals. The asset is experiencing broad technical weakness, currently trading 8.8% below its 50-day moving average, sitting underneath its 200-day moving average, and posting a negative MACD histogram. While a solid risk score of 73 and a neutral news score of 53 help stabilize the rating, the overall chart structure remains broken. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the price can reclaim its 50-day moving average to help reverse the short-term downtrend.

Bullish

Nothing flagged.

Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -0.00 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -8.8% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum4808%38
Risk (inverted)2308%73
Network usagen/a
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2885%53
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

1h ago

Since the previous scan, Crude oil (WTI) (CL) experienced minimal activity, with its confidence score dropping slightly from 50.7 to 50.3. No metric category shifted by more than 2 points, and no new anomaly flags were raised during this period. This overall stability indicates that recent policy headlines, such as the US Senate delaying the Clarity Act vote until after the August recess, have had no immediate impact on the asset's dashboard indicators. Ultimately, the 0.4-point score decline reflects a quiet scan with no significant underlying shifts.

No score category moved more than 2 points.

AI confidence meter

Neutral51%
Data quality
Limited
Category coverage
38%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
  • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
  • Signals all point the same way
  • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Despite having no explicit bullish signals, Crude Oil maintains a neutral overall confidence score of 50.3/100, anchored by a solid risk sub-score of 73. Additionally, the asset's news sub-score remains slightly positive at 53, suggesting some fundamental stability despite technical drag.

Bear case

The technical landscape for Crude Oil is severely depressed, marked by a low momentum sub-score of 38 and zero active bullish signals. The long-term trend structure is broken as price trades -8.8% below the 50-day moving average, below the 200-day moving average, and with a MACD currently beneath its signal line.

Balanced read: Current evidence strongly favors the bear case, driven by a broken long-term trend structure, zero bullish signals, and a price trading -8.8% below its 50-day moving average. A shift in momentum above 38 and a reclaim of its 50-day and 200-day moving averages would be required to flip the narrative toward the bulls.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Neutral Down 7.6% over 30 days; 40% below the running high; Realised volatility 48%

What CL is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d 0.23 · 90d 0.30 · Weak positive relationship
Crude oil30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change +2.8%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
41.5
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$80.78
SMA 200
$94.41
Volatility 30d
47.5%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Network activity
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
Commits (30d)
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Crude oil (WTI) yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API