Signals & anomalies

Every scan compares today against five years of stored history and flags what sits in the tails. Severity is a percentile, not an opinion: extreme means roughly a top-1% reading, rare roughly top-5%.

What changed since the last scan

dai60 → 57-3.10 pts

Since the previous scan, Dai's confidence score dropped from 59.7 to 56.6 after a 0.1% daily move flagged a new anomaly, marking the lowest price in the asset's 2.1 years of stored history. This development matters because even a slight deviation is notable for a pegged asset, with this specific move larger than 100.0% of days on record. Beyond this price anomaly, underlying dashboard metrics remained quiet, as no individual category score shifted by more than 2 points. This subtle pressure on the stablecoin coincides with regulatory delays, as the US Senate recently pushed its vote on the crypto Clarity Act to September.

58m ago

ripple54 → 54-0.60 pts

Since the previous scan, XRP’s confidence score slipped slightly from 54.3 to 53.7, driven by a 6.1-point decline in derivatives positioning from 100 to 94. This modest pull-back in leverage activity coincides with broader regulatory delays, as news confirmed the US Senate has postponed its vote on the crypto Clarity Act until after the August recess. With no new anomaly flags triggered, these metrics reflect a slight cooling in speculative exposure rather than a major structural shift.

  • Derivatives positioning down 6.1 points (100 → 94)

58m ago

soybeans62 → 61-0.50 pts

Soybeans (ZS) experienced minimal movement since the previous scan, with its confidence score dropping slightly from 61.8 to 61.3 and no individual category shifting by more than 2 points. No new anomaly flags were triggered, reflecting a generally quiet evaluation period with no major internal disruptions. This dashboard stability coincides with broader industry developments, notably the US Senate delaying its vote on the crypto Clarity Act until September, as well as updates such as Sui adding post-quantum signature schemes and Wintermute launching a US broker-dealer.

58m ago

bitcoin51 → 52+1.20 pts

Since the previous scan, Bitcoin’s confidence score rose slightly from 50.6 to 51.8, driven by a 9.0-point increase in derivatives positioning (75 to 84) and a 5.3-point gain in tokenomics (91 to 96). This shift matters because it reveals strengthening market structure and exposure even as a new anomaly flag highlights that volatility has compressed to a multi-year low. Externally, short-term regulatory momentum has stalled following news that the US Senate delayed its vote on the CLARITY Act until after the August recess. Overall, the dashboard reflects a market coiling tightly under low volatility while underlying derivative positioning continues to build.

  • Derivatives positioning up 9.0 points (75 → 84)
  • Tokenomics up 5.3 points (91 → 96)

58m ago

Detected anomalies

rarebitcoinneutral58m ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 25% sits at the 1.4th percentile of the last 2.7 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedogecoinbearish58m ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

extremedogecoinneutral58m ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 35% sits at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedaibearish58m ago

0.1% daily move — larger than 100.0% of days on record

Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.0% of days in the last 2.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.

extremedaibearish58m ago

Lowest price in the entire 2.1 years of stored history

Price closed below the prior floor of $1. Breakdowns to new lows tend to remove the last technical support levels.

extremeavalanche-2bearish58m ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

rarebitcoinneutral1h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 25% sits at the 1.4th percentile of the last 2.7 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedogecoinbearish1h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

extremedogecoinneutral1h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 35% sits at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedaibearish1h ago

0.1% daily move — larger than 100.0% of days on record

Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.0% of days in the last 2.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.

extremedaibearish1h ago

Lowest price in the entire 2.1 years of stored history

Price closed below the prior floor of $1. Breakdowns to new lows tend to remove the last technical support levels.

extremeavalanche-2bearish1h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

notablemoneroneutral1h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 43% sits at the 2.7th percentile of the last 1.0 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

rarebitcoinneutral1h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 25% sits at the 1.4th percentile of the last 2.7 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedogecoinbearish1h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

extremedogecoinneutral1h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 35% sits at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedaibearish1h ago

0.1% daily move — larger than 100.0% of days on record

Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.0% of days in the last 2.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.

extremedaibearish1h ago

Lowest price in the entire 2.1 years of stored history

Price closed below the prior floor of $1. Breakdowns to new lows tend to remove the last technical support levels.

extremeavalanche-2bearish1h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

rarebitcoinneutral1h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 25% sits at the 1.4th percentile of the last 2.7 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedogecoinbearish1h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

extremedogecoinneutral1h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 35% sits at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedaibearish1h ago

0.1% daily move — larger than 100.0% of days on record

Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.0% of days in the last 2.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.

extremedaibearish1h ago

Lowest price in the entire 2.1 years of stored history

Price closed below the prior floor of $1. Breakdowns to new lows tend to remove the last technical support levels.

notablecanton-networkbearish1h ago

Confidence Score moved -12.3 points in a single scan

The score went from 56.1 to 43.8. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

extremeavalanche-2bearish1h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

raretether-goldbullish1h ago

Confidence Score moved +18.9 points in a single scan

The score went from 42.1 to 61.0. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

rarebitcoinneutral2h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 25% sits at the 1.4th percentile of the last 2.7 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

rarebitcoinneutral2h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 25% sits at the 1.4th percentile of the last 2.7 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedogecoinbearish2h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

extremedogecoinneutral2h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 35% sits at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

rarebitcoinneutral2h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 25% sits at the 1.4th percentile of the last 2.7 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedogecoinbearish2h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

extremedogecoinneutral2h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 35% sits at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

extremedaibearish2h ago

0.1% daily move — larger than 100.0% of days on record

Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.0% of days in the last 2.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.

extremedaibearish2h ago

Lowest price in the entire 2.1 years of stored history

Price closed below the prior floor of $1. Breakdowns to new lows tend to remove the last technical support levels.

extremeavalanche-2bearish2h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

extremedaibearish2h ago

0.1% daily move — larger than 100.0% of days on record

Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.0% of days in the last 2.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.

extremedaibearish2h ago

Lowest price in the entire 2.1 years of stored history

Price closed below the prior floor of $1. Breakdowns to new lows tend to remove the last technical support levels.

rarecardanobearish2h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.7th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

extremedogecoinbearish2h ago

Volume in the bottom 1% of its history

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

extremedogecoinneutral2h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 35% sits at the 0.0th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

rarebitcoinneutral2h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 25% sits at the 1.4th percentile of the last 2.7 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

rarebitcoinneutral2h ago

Volatility near a multi-year low

30-day annualised volatility of 25% sits at the 1.4th percentile of the last 2.7 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.

notablebitcoinbearish2h ago

Confidence Score moved -10.3 points in a single scan

The score went from 59.9 to 49.6. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.