← Dashboard

XRP

XRP
$1.0324h -2.20% · 7d +2.87% · 30d +2.86%

Last scan 59m ago

54Confidence-0.6

Slightly bullish (54% confidence)

Why this score

XRP’s Confidence Score dipped slightly from 54.3 to 53.7 out of 100 as long-term technical weakness and legislative delays offset exceptionally strong derivatives activity (94/100). While a bullish MACD signal suggests brief upward momentum, the coin remains burdened by a low tokenomics score of 19 and a heavy 61% drawdown from its 5-year high. Additionally, news sentiment scored a modest 53 after reports confirmed the U.S. Senate delayed its vote on the crypto CLARITY Act until September. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether XRP can reclaim its 50-day moving average, which sits just 0.7% above the current price.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
Bearish
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -0.7% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks
  • Deep drawdownTrading 61% below its 5-year high.

Score breakdown

Momentum2907%49
Risk (inverted)1395%75
Network usage1744%46
Development930%43
News sentiment1744%53
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioning698%est94
Tokenomics581%19

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

59m ago

Since the previous scan, XRP’s confidence score slipped slightly from 54.3 to 53.7, driven by a 6.1-point decline in derivatives positioning from 100 to 94. This modest pull-back in leverage activity coincides with broader regulatory delays, as news confirmed the US Senate has postponed its vote on the crypto Clarity Act until after the August recess. With no new anomaly flags triggered, these metrics reflect a slight cooling in speculative exposure rather than a major structural shift.

  • Derivatives positioning down 6.1 points (100 → 94)

AI confidence meter

Neutral59%
Data quality
Good
Category coverage
88%
Conflicting signals
1
Missing data
Social sentiment
  • 7 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 4 of 5 data feeds responded
  • 1 signal contradict the overall read
  • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

XRP demonstrates short-term upward momentum driven by its MACD trading above the signal line and a strong derivatives sub-score of 94. The asset also holds a solid risk sub-score of 75 and an overall confidence score of 53.7/100 despite regulatory delays surrounding the Senate's Clarity Act vote.

Bear case

The broader technical and fundamental outlook remains heavily constrained, reflected by an extremely weak tokenomics sub-score of 19 and a broken long-term trend structure below the 200-day moving average. Additionally, the price is -0.7% below its 50-day moving average, trades in a deep 61% drawdown from its 5-year high, and struggles with low network (46) and development (43) scores.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case due to broken long-term moving average structures, a poor tokenomics score of 19, and a 61% drawdown from its peak. A decisive recovery back above the 50-day moving average alongside improved network and development metrics would be needed to flip the narrative.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Neutral Up 2.9% over 30 days; 61% below the running high; Realised volatility 38%

What XRP is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d 0.55 · 90d 0.66 · Moderate positive relationship
Crude oil30d -0.39 · 90d -0.05 · Weak inverse relationship
Gold30d 0.22 · 90d 0.11 · Weak positive relationship
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d 0.53 · 90d 0.42 · Moderate positive relationship
Silver30d 0.17 · 90d 0.14 · Moving independently
Nasdaq 10030d 0.54 · 90d 0.45 · Moderate positive relationship
S&P 50030d 0.53 · 90d 0.47 · Moderate positive relationship
US Dollar Index30d -0.35 · 90d -0.12 · Weak inverse relationship

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -23.2%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
42.2
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$1.39
SMA 200
$1.97
Volatility 30d
42.3%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
2.94M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.0754
Commits (30d)
86
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
62.53B
Supply issued
--
Max 100B

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to XRP yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API