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Dai

DAI
$0.9999824h 0.00% · 7d -0.14% · 30d -0.15%

Last scan 59m ago

57Confidence-3.1

Slightly bullish (57% confidence)

Why this score

Dai’s Confidence Score slipped to 56.6 out of 100 from 59.7 in the previous scan, driven primarily by weak momentum with a sub-score of 38 and a complete lack of bullish signals. Technical metrics dragged the score down as the price dipped 0.1% below its 50-day moving average, broke below its 200-day average, and registered a negative MACD signal, even while maintaining a top-tier risk sub-score of 100 and a solid derivatives score of 82. Meanwhile, external market news remains muted following reports that the U.S. Senate delayed its vote on the crypto Clarity Act until September. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether Dai can climb back above its 50-day moving average to help stabilize its short-term trend structure.

Bullish

Nothing flagged.

Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -0.00 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -0.1% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum3425%38
Risk (inverted)1644%100
Network usage2055%46
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2055%53
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioning822%est82
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

59m ago

Since the previous scan, Dai's confidence score dropped from 59.7 to 56.6 after a 0.1% daily move flagged a new anomaly, marking the lowest price in the asset's 2.1 years of stored history. This development matters because even a slight deviation is notable for a pegged asset, with this specific move larger than 100.0% of days on record. Beyond this price anomaly, underlying dashboard metrics remained quiet, as no individual category score shifted by more than 2 points. This subtle pressure on the stablecoin coincides with regulatory delays, as the US Senate recently pushed its vote on the crypto Clarity Act to September.

No score category moved more than 2 points.

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish68%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
63%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment, Tokenomics
  • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • Signals all point the same way
  • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Dai demonstrates strong structural risk metrics, evidenced by a perfect risk sub-score of 100 and a solid derivatives score of 82. Its overall confidence score remains moderate at 56.6/100, supported by stable news (53) and network (46) scores.

Bear case

The asset displays clear technical weakness with zero bullish signals and a low momentum sub-score of 38. It is trading -0.1% below its 50-day moving average, sits below its 200-day average, and recently reached its lowest price in 2.1 years of recorded history.

Balanced read: Current evidence favours the bear case due to broken long-term trend structures, zero bullish signals, and hitting a 2.1-year price low. A reversal back above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages along with a recovery in the 38 momentum score would be required to flip the narrative.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
extremeLowest price in the entire 2.1 years of stored history59m ago

Price closed below the prior floor of $1. Breakdowns to new lows tend to remove the last technical support levels.

extreme0.1% daily move — larger than 100.0% of days on record59m ago

Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.0% of days in the last 2.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.

extreme0.1% daily move — larger than 100.0% of days on record1h ago

Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.0% of days in the last 2.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.

extremeLowest price in the entire 2.1 years of stored history1h ago

Price closed below the prior floor of $1. Breakdowns to new lows tend to remove the last technical support levels.

extreme0.1% daily move — larger than 100.0% of days on record1h ago

Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.0% of days in the last 2.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.

extremeLowest price in the entire 2.1 years of stored history1h ago

Price closed below the prior floor of $1. Breakdowns to new lows tend to remove the last technical support levels.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic Down 0.1% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 1%

What DAI is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Crude oil30d -0.15 · 90d -0.08 · Moving independently
Gold30d 0.17 · 90d 0.11 · Moving independently
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d 0.09 · 90d -0.01 · Moving independently
Silver30d 0.24 · 90d 0.09 · Weak positive relationship
Nasdaq 10030d 0.07 · 90d -0.02 · Moving independently
S&P 50030d 0.14 · 90d 0.02 · Moving independently
US Dollar Index30d -0.22 · 90d -0.06 · Weak inverse relationship

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -0.1%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
32.6
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$0.999908
SMA 200
$0.999918
Volatility 30d
0.6%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
2.94M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.0753
Commits (30d)
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
4.58B
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Dai yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API