Monero
XMRLast scan 1h ago
Moderately bullish (65% confidence)
Why this score
Because this is Monero’s first recorded scan, it establishes an initial baseline Confidence Score of 65.4 out of 100, driven primarily by a strong momentum sub-score of 72 as the price holds 10.6% above its 50-day moving average with a positive MACD histogram of 0.53. However, softer sub-scores in development (52) and news (54), combined with a risk flag highlighting a 48% drawdown from its 5-year high, keep the overall score in moderate territory. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether XMR can maintain its position above the 50-day moving average to keep its short-term upward trend intact.
- MACD above signalHistogram 0.53 — short-term trend is up.
- Above 50-day averagePrice is 10.6% above the 50-day moving average.
- Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Nothing flagged.
- Deep drawdownTrading 48% below its 5-year high.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
1h agoFirst recorded scan for this coin — there is no previous snapshot to compare against yet.
No score category moved more than 2 points.
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Limited
- Category coverage
- 50%
- Conflicting signals
- 0
- Missing data
- Network usage, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
- • 4 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 4 of 5 data feeds responded
- • Signals all point the same way
- • Score is 15 points off neutral
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
Monero displays strong short- and long-term technical momentum, supported by a momentum sub-score of 72 and a MACD histogram of 0.53 above its signal line. The price currently trades 10.6% above its 50-day moving average and remains above its 200-day moving average with zero explicit bearish signals reported.
Bear case
Despite bullish price trends, Monero carries significant structural risk, remaining in a deep 48% drawdown from its 5-year high. Additionally, sub-scores for development (52) and news (54) reflect subdued broader engagement, while price volatility sits near a multi-year low amid regulatory stagnation like the delayed Senate Clarity Act vote.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bullish side, driven by an overall confidence score of 65.4/100 and intact technical support above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. A breakdown in momentum or an increase in drawdown severity beyond the current 48% mark would flip the outlook toward the bears.
Anomalies detected
All signals →30-day annualised volatility of 43% sits at the 2.7th percentile of the last 1.0 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Neutral — Up 10.3% over 30 days; 48% below the running high; Realised volatility 43%
What XMR is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Score history builds up as scans run. Come back after a few scans to see the trend.
Related news
No headlines tied to Monero yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API