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US Dollar Index

DXY
$114.1124h -1.10% · 7d -0.29% · 30d -3.12%

Last scan 59m ago

61Confidence-0.4

Moderately bullish (61% confidence)

Why this score

The DXY Confidence Score dipped slightly from 61.1 to 60.7 out of 100, driven by a weak momentum score of 48 and broader technical pressure. Although a positive MACD histogram of 0.17 points to a mild short-term uptick, the index remains weighed down by trading 2.5% below its 50-day moving average and underneath its broken 200-day trend structure. Offsetting some of this weakness is an exceptionally high risk sub-score of 98 with zero risk flags and a neutral news score of 53. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the index can push back above its 50-day moving average to break out of its broader downward trend.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.17 — short-term trend is up.
Bearish
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -2.5% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum4808%48
Risk (inverted)2308%98
Network usagen/a
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2885%53
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

59m ago

Since the previous scan, the US Dollar Index (DXY) confidence score decreased slightly from 61.1 to 60.7, with no individual category moving by more than 2 points. No new anomaly flags were triggered during this period, reflecting a quiet and stable scan across all tracked metrics. Key headline coverage was dominated by reports that the US Senate has delayed its vote on the crypto Clarity Act until after the August recess, alongside announcements from Wintermute and Sui. This minimal movement matters because it shows baseline indicators remained flat and unaffected despite the shifted regulatory timeline.

No score category moved more than 2 points.

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish38%
Data quality
Limited
Category coverage
38%
Conflicting signals
1
Missing data
Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
  • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
  • 1 signal contradict the overall read
  • Score is 11 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

The US Dollar Index displays positive short-term momentum as its MACD sits above the signal line with a histogram of 0.17. The asset also carries an exceptionally strong risk sub-score of 98 out of 100, supporting an overall confidence score of 60.7/100. Furthermore, a news sub-score of 53 indicates a stable sentiment environment.

Bear case

DXY's long-term trend structure is currently broken as the index remains below its 200-day moving average. Additionally, the price is -2.5% below its 50-day moving average, highlighting ongoing medium-term pressure. This macro weakness is reinforced by a sluggish momentum sub-score of 48.

Balanced read: The current evidence slightly favors the bear case because key technical thresholds remain broken, with the price -2.5% below the 50-day moving average and under the 200-day moving average. A move back above these major moving averages combined with a rise in the 48 momentum sub-score would flip the outlook in favor of the bulls.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic Down 3.1% over 30 days; 9% below the running high; Realised volatility 11%

What DXY is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d -0.51 · 90d -0.49 · Moderate inverse relationship
Crude oil30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change +12.5%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
44.4
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$106.51
SMA 200
$106.08
Volatility 30d
11.3%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Network activity
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
Commits (30d)
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to US Dollar Index yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API