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Gold

XAU
$2,051.5024h -0.97% · 7d +2.17% · 30d +5.61%

Last scan 59m ago

71Confidence-0.5

Bullish (71% confidence)

Why this score

Gold's Confidence Score ticked down slightly from 71.7 to 71.2 out of 100, largely weighed down by a lukewarm news score of 53 following headlines that the US Senate delayed its Clarity Act vote until September. Despite this minor dip, the asset exhibits no bearish signals and maintains a strong risk sub-score of 97 alongside a solid momentum score of 70. Its technical structure remains intact, supported by price sitting 4.5% above the 50-day moving average and a positive MACD histogram reading of 1.52. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether regulatory news sentiment recovers as Congress reapproaches the crypto clarity bill after its summer break.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 1.52 — short-term trend is up.
  • Above 50-day averagePrice is 4.5% above the 50-day moving average.
  • Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Bearish

Nothing flagged.

Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum4808%70
Risk (inverted)2308%97
Network usagen/a
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2885%53
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

59m ago

Gold’s (XAU) confidence score dipped slightly from 71.7 to 71.2 since the previous scan, while no individual underlying category moved by more than two points. With zero new anomaly flags detected, the asset's analytics remain essentially steady across the board. This lack of significant movement matters because it shows XAU holding a stable posture despite major industry news, such as the US Senate postponing its vote on the CLARITY Act until September. Overall, the dashboard reflects routine, quiet activity with no sharp shifts in sentiment or data to report.

No score category moved more than 2 points.

AI confidence meter

Bullish64%
Data quality
Limited
Category coverage
38%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
  • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
  • Signals all point the same way
  • Score is 21 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Gold demonstrates a strong technical structure, trading 4.5% above its 50-day moving average and remaining well above its 200-day moving average. Short-term upward momentum is confirmed by an MACD histogram of 1.52 and a momentum sub-score of 70. Additionally, an exceptional risk sub-score of 97 supports a safe market profile with zero bearish signals flagged.

Bear case

Despite solid technical momentum, the asset's news sub-score remains modest at 53, indicating a lack of strong positive news catalysts. Broader policy uncertainties highlighted in macro headlines could drag on market sentiment over time. Without fresh fundamental drivers, the rally risks losing steam if market volatility returns.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favours the bull case due to a solid confidence score of 71.2/100, zero bearish signals, and price positioning 4.5% above the 50-day moving average. A breakdown below the 200-day moving average or a sharp drop in the momentum score from 70 would flip the outlook toward the bears.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic Up 5.6% over 30 days; 11% below the running high; Realised volatility 18%

What XAU is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d 0.19 · 90d 0.29 · Moving independently
Crude oil30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change +2.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
56.8
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$1,755.33
SMA 200
$1,781.78
Volatility 30d
19.8%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Network activity
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
Commits (30d)
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Gold yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API